Morgan Rogers' Rich Vein of Form Drives Villa's Surprising Title Charge
Just two months ago when the young forward found himself on the Sunderland turf, looking confused as the Villa manager scolded him for missing a pass in behind. Back then, as Villa went six without a win, the question was if his displays were a sign or the reason for Villa's wider issues.
“Following Rogers' second strike… Emery discarded his jacket, extended his arms, and let out a triumphant roar.”
In the latest match, though, the manager's outburst was entirely much more joyous. As the England international curled home his brace-sealing goal to reclaim Villa's lead, the boss tore off his coat, threw his arms wide and shouted in triumph. The Birmingham club were on their way to a tenth straight victory , despite not winning any of their first six games, find themselves just three points off table-toppers Arsenal.
Is Aston Villa Genuine Title Contenders?
That’s a particularly tough question to answer. The historical record, the traditional standing of this institution, indicates otherwise. Additionally, they have not been entirely convincing during this run, even as the wins have accumulated.
According to the data, on just two occasions has the team had an xG significantly higher than their opponents. For a team which has strung together 10 in a row, Villa look curiously susceptible – but currently the margins are going in their favour.
The Winning Formula
The prevailing tactic appears to be to exchange chances with rivals and then rely on their star man to save the day with some crisp finishes. This occurred against Leeds, it occurred at West Ham, and it happened versus Manchester United.
Rogers' first goal stemmed from a superb shot, bent right inside the upright from a wide position. The follow-up goal acted as a somewhat messier replica of his first as he seized on a setup by his strike partner.
“Rogers’ right foot is now akin to Robben’s legendary left: forewarned does not mean forearmed, and stopping him is another matter entirely.”
How Long Can This Continue?
Common sense dictates no. During the latest victory, Manchester United registered more efforts and more direct attempts. They have triumphed in eight consecutive games by the narrowest of margins. They have allowed goals in all but one of those fixtures.
A reversion to average could be the greatest opponent Villa must confront in the near future. Their key man, in all likelihood, cannot maintain thrashing the football into the top corner indefinitely.
Reasons for Optimism
Perhaps there is another reality in which, rather than luck running out, the team's displays improve to justify the wins. Vital cogs may yet rediscover their best form.
- Ollie Watkins may begin to scoring again.
- The attacking talent may rediscover the force he resembled at Borussia Dortmund.
- The injured centre-backs will eventually come back from the treatment room, fortifying a periodically leaky defence.
Maybe within that lies the possibility of a genuine bid, however, it is improbable can continue to depend solely on a single individual.
Enjoying the Ride
However, this is a surprise. Nobody thought Aston Villa would occupy in a Champions League place in December. And without a doubt two months ago, few could imagine the midfielder now would be spearheading a championship pursuit while looking like a crucial England player.
This remarkable period should be enjoyed exactly since it appears so improbable. When Rogers faced the home supporters when the game ended conducting the cheers, he appeared to be loving the experience. Which he fully merits. Such periods do not happen often and should be relished.